IMPLEMENTATION INSURANCE

What if Insurance policies were unaffordable? For resilience purposes (flooding, wildfires, coastal restoration), insurance would need to build longer term community bond type policies to stay in business. Our lab has been working on this eventuality for a year now. Our community readiness and index work supports an integrated behavioral layer for behavioral Risk related to Resilience.

Another area for insurers we welcome research partnerships is: testing whether behavioral, trust-specific data can do what generic social-risk data has struggled to do in the actuarial literature: meaningfully improve prediction beyond a standard baseline. Re: mangrove stewardship — whether the community around it will actually maintain it long enough for the credits to mean anything.

Community Intelligence · Insurance Sector
Community Intelligence · Insurance Sector
You've been paying for it. We can price it.
PathSight Predictive Science × RFUTR Inc. 501c3  ·  rfutr.com  ·  PRIVATE
"We've seen the same WUI community fail at mitigation adoption three grant cycles in a row. We don't know why."
— Chief Resilience Officer, major P&C carrier

Sound Familiar?

  • Residents won't adopt wildfire mitigation interventions — even with subsidies.
  • Green infrastructure isn't being maintained after the grant cycle ends.
  • BIPOC utilization of health programs won't move no matter how much you expand the network.
  • Community opposition blocked or delayed infrastructure you had fully permitted and funded.
  • ESG commitments look good on paper. Nobody can verify they actually landed in the community.

You know the behavioral variable is real. You can't get it into the model.

64%
of megaprojects face cost overruns from community opposition
EY Megaprojects
$64B
in infrastructure blocked or delayed in 2 years by community friction
Laisar, 2025
40%
utilization ceiling for health programs without behavioral routing
Rogers, 2003
more likely to use a service when communities trust the institution
McKinsey, 2019

What We Do

We map the behavioral reality of communities before you deploy capital, file claims, or launch programs. Three instruments. One integrated layer.

The Three Readings

CI reads communities at three levels before any behavioral question is asked.

Structure

What the community is carrying: the civic, economic, and institutional conditions that shape how people receive information and act on it.

Alignment

Whether the community's behavioral groups are moving in the same direction or pulling in different ones.

Cohesion

Whether there is enough shared civic fabric to sustain collective action across a campaign cycle or capital deployment.

These three readings produce the Trust Flow architecture, the Social Default Score, and every routing recommendation CI makes. The behavioral layer sits on top of a structural foundation — which is why it predicts correctly where demographic models cannot.

Trust Flow Map

Who does this community actually trust? Who holds social permission — not the title on the door, the person the neighbors listen to. Mapped at ZIP+4 precision. Zero PII.

Survivability Index

Will this community steward the investment for 10 years — or abandon it the moment the grant ends? A behavioral score that belongs next to your physical risk model.

Social Default Score

The probability that a technically sound investment will fail at the human variable. Priced before capital commits. Not after the claim is filed.

Where It Applies

Wildfire & WUI Property & Casualty · Parametric
  • Behavioral adoption readiness mapped alongside physical risk score
  • Identifies who in the community will actually adopt mitigation — before the subsidy deploys
  • Survivability Index for WUI mitigation programs: will cleared land stay cleared?
Flood & Green Infrastructure Resilience Bonds · Municipal
  • Community stewardship scoring before bond issuance
  • Behavioral readiness for nature-based infrastructure — bioswales, rain gardens, retention basins
  • Social Default risk priced before capital commits to watershed corridors
Health Utilization Medicaid · Value-Based Care
  • Identifies who community members actually trust for health decisions
  • Demand activation through trusted messengers — not expanded networks
  • Behavioral routing that moves utilization where demographic outreach cannot
ESG Verification CSRD · Impact · Reinsurance
  • Behavioral ground-truth versus stakeholder consultation records
  • CSRD double materiality evidence package: did the commitment land in behavioral reality?
  • Independent verification that ESG programmes reached the communities they claimed
Development Capital Emerging Markets · Impact Investing
  • Behavioral underwriting before capital commits — Social Default priced pre-deployment
  • Community rejection risk scored before project approval, not after community opposition
  • 10-year community stewardship capacity assessed for long-duration infrastructure investments
On Privacy and Data Ethics

Everything in this analysis is derived from aggregate behavioral signals. Zero personally identifiable information is collected, stored, or used at any stage. No individual is named, tracked, or profiled.

The unit of analysis is always the community — never the person.

In theory, we do not own the community data — nor do our partners. The community does. We believe this is the only ethical way to do this kind of work.

It is also, as it turns out, the more accurate way. Individual data is noisy. Community behavioral architecture is stable, measurable, and predictive.

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TRUST BASED DEVELOPMENT

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TRUST FLOW HEALTH